Martin
Barnes
Managing Editor
BCA RESEARCH
Mr. Barnes joined BCA Research in late 1987 and since mid-1993 has been Managing Editor of The Bank Credit Analyst, the company’s flagship service. This highly respected monthly publication provides analysis and forecasts of the outlook for the U.S. financial markets and economic conditions. The publication’s large subscriber base includes financial institutions, corporations, high net worth individuals, and government agencies in the U.S. and abroad. From 1988 to 1993, Mr. Barnes was Managing Editor of The BCA Interest Rate Forecast.
As Managing Editor of The Bank Credit Analyst, Mr. Barnes’ research and writings cover a broad spectrum of subjects of relevance to investors. He speaks frequently at conferences in North America and overseas and is quoted regularly in the financial press.
Prior to joining BCA, Mr. Barnes spent ten years as Chief International Economist with a major U.K. stockbroker and from 1973 to 1977 he was an economist with British Petroleum in London.
Mr. Barnes is a member of the National Association of Business Economists, and the Montreal Society of Financial Analysts. He received his economics degree from the University of Strathclyde, Glasgow and has lived in Canada since November 1987.
BCA Research is a major provider of global financial market research. Its many research publications and Internet-based services cover the full range of financial assets and these can be supplemented with consulting arrangements.
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2008
Sunday 30 March 2008 Why Worry? - Interview - Kathryn M. Welling
An Interview With Martin H. Barnes ~ Surveying the complacency he's seeing all around Wall Street and Main Street despite the market's recent little record-setting dipsy-doodle, the managing editor of Montreal's Bank Credit Analyst is not comforted. Indeed, when we caught up with Martin last week in Austin, Texas, where he was about to make a presentation to clients, the self-styled "dour Scotsman" uttered a comment more revealing even than the kilt he sometimes dons. The intellectual content of much recent market commentary has been on a par with the "What, Me Worry?" of Mad Magazine's Alfred E. Neuman, Martin ...
March 19, 2008
What went wrong
The seeds of today's disaster were sown in the 1980s, when financial services began a pattern of growth that may only now have come to an end. In a recent study Martin Barnes of BCA Research, a Canadian economic-research firm, traces the rise of the American financial-services industry's share of total corporate profits, from 10% in the early 1980s to 40% at its peak last year (see chart 1). Its share of stockmarket value grew from 6% to 19%. These proportions look all the more striking—even unsustainable—when you note that financial services account for only 15% of corporate America's gross value added and a mere 5% of private-sector jobs.
Monday, March 10 Sun has set on banks' golden age, firm says
25 years of unprecedented prosperity. Financial sector faces much leaner times, Montreal's Bank Credit Analyst predicts
..."The blow-up in the markets for subprime paper and other structured products represents a watershed event in the financial markets," said Martin Barnes, managing editor of Bank Credit Analyst. "Financial shares will likely lead the next equity market upleg, but any outperformance will be fleeting. The financial sector's share of corporate profits and market capitalization is set to shrink significantly in the coming years."
February 1, 2006.
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OUTLOOK FOR THE U.S. ECONOMY AND FINANCIAL MARKETS
BCAresearch.com. GIC/PCBE Luncheon. Philadelphia.
Martin H. Barnes. Managing Editor. The Bank Credit
Analyst. mbarnes@BCAresearch.com ...
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Bank Credit Analyst editor in chief Tony Boeckh (with crystal ball) and managing editor Martin Barnes.
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Friday 6 November 1998 Financial fortune-tellers
Market-forecasting publication is among the
world's oldest, most influential DON MACDONALD
Martin Barnes is not in a
profession given to
exuberance, but when the
economist talks about his
work as managing editor
of the Bank Credit
Analyst, he positively
bubbles with enthusiasm.
Speed bump ahead. But bank does not foresee recession
Canada's economy is not headed for a recession,
despite a slowdown in growth next year, the
Bank of Montreal says in its annual economic
forecast.
"The Canadian economy will be driven by
continued expansion in the U.S. and a low
Canadian dollar," Tim O'Neill, the bank's chief
economist, said in releasing the forecast
yesterday.
"Low long-term interest rates may also provide
support to consumer and investment spending."
On the world economy, George Archer of BCA has sent along a fascinating piece on the Japanese bank bailout
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