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Map and directions to 33 Avenue Rosemount, Westmount, QC, Canada

Welcome to Wednesday Night #1324 18 July, 2007


PLEASE LET US KNOW IF YOU CAN BE WITH US - IT MAKES THE CHAIRMAN'S JOB EASIER

18 July 2007

The Invitation

This Wednesday we will sadly say farewell to Anne Sophie Coleman, who leaves Montreal for an exciting new post in Washington where she will be dealing with issues relating to China and intellectual property rights. Probably even more challenging than the role she has occasionally had to assume on Wednesday Nights! She will be sorely missed, but promises to set up the Washington Wing of Wednesday Night and to be in constant touch.

At the same time, we are happy to welcome Cleo Paskal home from London where she has enjoyed her role as Chatham House Associate Fellow, Energy, Environment and Development Programme and produced an impressive report on Climate change, security & foreign policy   Exceedingly timely in view of all the chatter about the Northwest Passage and Canadian sovereignty to be protected by new patrol boats that, in the words of Senator Colin Kenney “would not crush the ice in a gin and tonic” (wish I’d said that). For those of you who were not with us, there’s lots of background on the Arctic question from last week’s stimulating discussion.

And Kimon is back at last from his European travels. We look forward  to his comments on the new government in France and to comparing his impressions to those of Dr. André Pasternac, particularly with respect to the rivalry with Angela Merkel for the title of Europe’s “top leader” . We are also looking forward to his views on prospects for global governance in the face of such troubling issues as Russia’s suspension of participation  in the European arms control treaty;  the  elections in Turkey  and that country’s chances for admission to the EU , not to mention the new agreement with Iran on natural gas supply to Europe; the outlook for Pakistan in the wake of the Red Mosque violence; and, in Africa, predictions regarding when Zimbabwe will finally emerge from the catastrophe of the Mugabe regime.

As some in  Washington are looking for face-saving ways of retreating from Iraq,  U.S. Maj. Gen. Rick Lynch is urging that the “surge” continue into the spring of 2008,  and the Iraqi  PM says that U.S. forces can leave anytime,  we have two relevant and fascinating reading recommendations for you.

The first comes from Guy Stanley - a link to Radio Free Europe  “full of interesting information that provides a new look at the forces unleashed by the fall of Saddam (as well as the history of the region, etc.) “,  and the second, from Ron Robertson is Gwynne Dyer’s new book ” The Mess They Made: The Middle East after Iraq”, reviewed by Nathan Whitlock in the Toronto Star

Would our week’s round-up be complete without reference to Conrad Black? We are, of course, fascinated by the coverage of the outcome of his trial which, as expected, ranges from controlled delirium from the Left to not-so-controlled hysteria from the Right. Pick your own media references and be assured that the topic will be on the menu.

Nor will we ignore the Rio Tinto/Alcan merger news, especially topical in light of our recent evening with Andrea Mandel-Campbell

With your help and these and other emerging issues, we can guarantee a rousing send-off for Anne and a great welcome home for Cleo and Kimon. We look forward to your participation

Tuesday 17 July 2007 Video: Glaciers in Retreat
As global warming raises temperatures, glaciers in the Himalayas are melting and South Asia's water supply is at risk.
Related Article

Tuesday 17 July 2007 Despite some improvement, African governance is woeful
After deteriorating between 1998 and 2005, governance in Africa appears to have improved somewhat in the last year. However, governance standards for the continent are far from ideal.

Tuesday 17 July 2007 Globalization creating a 'deadly brew' for national currencies
In Ontario, embattled Ontario manufacturers rail about the suddenly airborne loonie. Members of the U.S. Congress want to bash China for fiddling with the yuan. And ordinary Argentines would rather hold just about any currency than their own.
So maybe it's time to rethink the whole idea of national currencies. That, at least, is the provocative thesis of Benn Steil, director of international economics at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York.

Wednesday 18 July 2007 Canadas and Qubec in July 2007 by David T. Jones
.... In accord with the historical expectation for a minority government (12-18 months), the Tories projected that having addressed these topics as effectively as possible, they would go to the electorate to seek a majority government. Wrong. more stories by David Jones

Friday 13 July 2007 RBC ECONOMIC NEWS
U.S. Retail Sales for June fell 0.9%. Excluding autos, retail sales fell 0.2%. Retail sales, were projected to fall 0.1%. Sales excluding automobiles were forecast to increase 0.2%. “Sales are definitely slowing down,'' Kevin Logan, senior market economist at Dresdner Kleinwort in New York, said before the report. “We'll continue to see very modest gains in consumer spending. That will temper the economy's growth for the rest of the year.'' Import price index for June rose 1%, economists were look for a rise of 0.6%. Export Price Index rose 0.3% in June.

We look forward to your company.

Diana & David Nicholson
dtnicholson@wednesdaynight.net
Tel: +1 (514) 934-0023

Here's one to ponder... [from our Dr. David Mitchell]
Regardless of where you stand on the issue of the U.S. involvement in Iraq, here's an interesting statistic:
There has been a monthly average of 160,000 US troops in the Iraq theatre of operations during the last 22 months, and a total of 2,112 deaths.
That gives a monthly firearm death rate of 60 per 100,000 soldiers.
The firearm death rate in Washington D.C. is 80.6 per 100,000 persons for the same period.
That means that you are about 25% more likely to be shot and killed in the U.S. Capital than you are in Iraq .
Conclusion: The U.S. should pull out of Washington

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    ....forecast moderation in global economic growth, led by an abrupt slowdown in the U.S. economy. Evidence of a global moderation is accumulating - the U.S. consumer is retrenching, leading economic indicators have rolled over, Asian exports are easing, and financial markets are being driven increasingly by speculation. Past issues | his WN page

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