Wednesday Night Salon # 942
22 March 2000
New guest, Stefan Borenstein was a welcome addition - a dental technologist and a sculptor (in ceramic,of course), Stefan has lectured and taught around the world and brings to the table a highly international viewpoint, combined with an artist's sensitivity.
Note to the legions of Harry Mayerovitch Artist fans - not only does Harry turn 90 on the 16th of April, but a restrospective exhibition of Harry's work will be held at Victoria Hall starting April 12th and a second one opens at the Maison de la culture on Côte des Neiges on May 4th.
Editor's Note: We are happy to have our dear friend and Wednesday Night Scribe, Herb Bercovitz, back from Florida, looking fit and handsome after three weeks in the sun. We would also like to thank Gerald Ratzer for his excellent efforts during Herb's absence.
THE DISCUSSION
As so often happens on Wednesday Nights, the agenda was revised because an expert appeared unexpectedly. With the arrival of
Marika Pruska Carroll, the principle subject immediately became the Russian presidential election.
RUSSIA
Enjoying forty-eight percent popular support, there is little doubt that
Vladimir Putin will win the presidency, probably in the first round. Only the future of Russia, both in domestic policies and in its relationship to the West seems vague to most, but not to the Wednesday night experts, who have always enjoyed an excellent record in the area of prognostication.
Neither a communist, a democrat nor a reformer, Putin is a pragmatist and a good administrator. Is he a modern Stalin? He may well be very good for Russia, especially because of his strong anti-corruption stand. The consummate politician, Putin is very similar to the Gorbachev of the late eighties, and offers something for everyone including Parliament, the army and the population with his promise of law and order, a stronger central government and the successful completion of the Chechen war. The sole unknown is whether he will control or be controlled by the oligarchs.
As for the future, Putin has strong organizational abilities and will be able to exploit and continue to develop the improving Russian economy which is basically very powerful, largely oil and metal based. (including, we learned, 90% of the world's supply of Palladium, a highly conductive alloy used in catalytic converters). With rising world commodity prices, a declining inflation rate and the recovery of the Asian economy, Russia is continuing to enjoy a trade surplus (leading the IMF to suspend credit to aid Russia). There is continuing corruption, especially in the housing market, but this will not change a brightening economic future.
The new President will face challenges, however, not the least of which are the absence of work ethic, the extremely low salaries and the pervasive presence of the Russian mafia (possibly ex-KGB).
CHECHNYA
The Chechens are Russian neither in terms of language nor religion or culture. Chechnya is important to Russia because of its strategic location in the transportation of oil. After the completion of the Caspian Sea pipeline, the scenario will change; after the presidential election, Chechnya will become irrelevant as a popular rallying point, and Russia may even decide to let it go its own way at that point. Whatever the eventual outcome, we must understand that there will always be hatred on both sides and unless the Russians decide to let Chechnya go, there will always be war.
EDUCATION AND THE INTERNET
There are concerns even among those working in the fields of Computer Science and Education, about the apparent attempt to supplant traditional teaching methods by having the
"best and finest" teachers of the world educate via the Internet. The consensus among Wednesday Nighters is that although there is a place for this method of teaching, in most instances it cannot be a substitute for human contact and interaction. Humans too, use multiple senses to learn.
Our future demands that we invest more in our students, but the cost is already high. Ten billion of the forty-five billion dollar Québec budget is spent on education. The Québec government is beginning to monitor performance, but there is a need for involvement at the level of Parent Committees to ensure that the very best quality of education is delivered at a price that Quebeckers can afford.
(Editor's note: On this topic, please see the articulate commentary from Professor/Dr. June Riley who was unable to be present as she is teaching on Wednesday nights.)
THE QUEBEC LIBERALS AND JEAN CHAREST
Jacques Clément |
It has been widely accepted recently, that the Parti Québecois would defeat themselves at the next provincial election. Today it doesn't seem that certain.
Jean Charest has failed to capture the imagination of the press. He appears to be viewed by many Quebeckers, by the Québec press and even by some members of his own party as having never really left Ottawa. Although he has worked hard, making many personal appearances across the province and concentrating on swing ridings, he has made little impact on the press either on the road or in the National Assembly. If the Liberals hope to win the next election, they must not compete with The P.Q. and A.D.Q, for the soft nationalist vote and they must either seduce the fifth estate or find a new leader.
QUOTES OF THE EVENING
- On Vladimir Putin: "I have a feeling we are dealing with a pragmatist and not an idealogue."
- "Some things are better done by the Internet alone, repeated, other things are better learned by interaction."
- "We have to reconstruct our pedagogical system, but the net is not the answer."
- "The (Québec Liberal Party) has the federalists, but is also trying to get the soft nationalists. Perhaps it is time to change the approach, because the world has changed, Canada has changed and it's time for the Liberal Party to change. As long as they are competing with the ADQ and PQ for the soft nationalist (vote), they have a tough time."
- "I am tired of Jean Charest acting like a second class citizen. He is not looking like the leader of the opposition."
Note: from Herb Bercovitz
Wednesday night market guru, Ron Meisels, has scored again. In 1994, he was the first to state the now familiar "10,000 in 2000". Asked if this applied to both the Dow and the TSE, he replied in the affirmative. Throughout the past several years amid dire predictions of burst bubbles, our guru remained confident. Recent events have proven his long-term prediction accurate. This of course, is not unusual. [Note in Ron's Birth Day card ". I have just published a follow-up to my "10,000 in 2000". The report is called "What comes after 10,000 in 2000?" We will get when he returns from Toronto? DTN]
David presented Rex Murphy on "Who wants to be a millionaire". It was vintage Rex Murphy, clever, articulate and funny. For many, the weekly Rex Murphy clip is as good as "Yes, Minister".
Notes by Herb Bercovitz
Edited by Diana Thébaud Nicholson
Tuesday, March 28, 2000
Hi David & Diana,

Read how the internet will be the agent of tectonic shifts
in the global economy.
Just came across the massive (343-page) e-volve
report put out by Bear Stearns (
www.bearstearns.com)
and recommend it highly for examples of how the e-conomy
is transforming everything else. If you're an info junkie like me,
here's a prime lode of your drug of choice.
Cheers,
Guy Stanley
Wed941
Wed943oscar
more by JOSH FREED
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